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June or July? Blair decides.

BBC NEWS | Politics | Blair to announce departure date

Betfair odds on it being July rather than June have dropped rapidly in the last few days - I got some money on July at 6/1 last week, it is now 5/4. 30th June is one date being bandied about so I wouldn't be interested at that price in a flutter.

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Two risks, the given bet, and the intepretation made by Betfair...

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