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2007 - An Inconvenient Truth

Met Office: News release

4 January 2007
2007 - forecast to be the warmest year yet

2007 is likely to be the warmest year on record globally, beating the current record set in 1998, say climate-change experts at the Met Office.

Each January the Met Office, in conjunction with the University of East Anglia, issues a forecast of the global surface temperature for the coming year. The forecast takes into account known contributing factors, such as solar effects, El Niño, greenhouse gases concentrations and other multi-decadal influences. Over the previous seven years, the Met Office forecast of annual global temperature has proved remarkably accurate, with a mean forecast error size of just 0.06 °C.

Met Office global forecast for 2007

* Global temperature for 2007 is expected to be 0.54 °C above the long-term (1961-1990) average of 14.0 °C;
* There is a 60% probability that 2007 will be as warm or warmer than the current warmest year (1998 was +0.52 °C above the long-term 1961-1990 average).

Katie Hopkins from Met Office Consulting said: "This new information represents another warning that climate change is happening around the world. Our work in the climate change consultancy team applies Met Office research to help businesses mitigate against risk and adapt at a strategic level for success in the new environment."

Hat tip;

I wasn't aware that a "prediction" represents "new information." Well, perhaps it does to a certain breed of consultant. I wonder if the Met Office's clients will ask for their money back if the Met Office's prediction proved way off the mark?" Hall of Record:

"With just a few weeks to go it's looking like 2007 will be the coolest year this century and possibly the coolest since 1995. If so then one more year like this and we will begin to have enough statistical information to speculate about a downward trend, though a few more years will be better.

More from Dr. John Ray: and at Climate Sceptic

Comments

People might like to go here and have some fun helping the sanctimonious to edit their communique into something that reflects the current state of scientific knowledge. The site is part hosted by the utterly aweful and ridiculous Margot Wallström, Vice President of the equally ridiculous EU.

http://www.roadtocopenhagen.org/

They are certainly struggling at the moment to get the facts right:

“The overwhelming evidence is that climate change under the form of global warming is putting the future of biodiversity and ours on this planet in danger.

A meaningful breakthrough, outlining concrete actions after years of talking, is desperately needed at the UN Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC/Meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol in Bali in December 2007 to set the planet on a pathway to climate stabilisation for the post-2012 period, when the first commitment period of Kyoto expires.

It is clear from the Stern report and the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that the longer we delay action, the more costly it will be, both in terms of mitigation and in terms of the impacts many countries are already experiencing.”

But in fact, all this bollocks is just an excuse for a big, global power grab:

“create a powerful international court that will supervise the implementation of this framework”

As Snoopy would have put it “Good Grief

And lest we forget, it turned out that 1998 wasn't the warmest year on record. 1934 was, after Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit spotted an error in Nasa's temperaure history.

Junk data leads to junk science, but only in highly-politicised climate science do people get away with errors which would lead to disgrace in other scientific fields.

Did you see the report that the Pope seems to be on our side?

http://haddock-somethingfishy.blogspot.com/2007/12/is-pope.html

Is that the Katie Hopkins from Met Office Consulting?
Katie Hopkins - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
refers.

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