Collating the evidence for man made warming.
Paul Simon has a warmist screed in The Times this morning, which lists the evidence for Man made global warming. I thought it would be an interesting exercise to fisk them and see what stands up as fact, which are unproven or unattributable to man and which are lies.
For ease I have inserted numbers to reference the statements, and changed the formatting to make them clearer.
Barbecue autumn is about to end with gales and heavy rain ....individual weather events are incredibly difficult to pin down to climate change — it is only by taking the long-term view that a pattern emerges. On its own, the remarkably warm autumn enjoyed by much of Britain so far is not evidence of climate change. But it fits a pattern of increasingly later autumns, and earlier springs, as the climate grows warmer.
As temperatures rise, ice melts, seas expand and mapmakers are having to redraw the world.
(1) Italy and Switzerland are realigning their border after Alpine glaciers that marked out their frontier melted.
See comment below and here which shows the retreat of the glaciers cannot be pinned on man.
(2) New islands have appeared off the coast of Greenland as glaciers melted and revealed land previously hidden under ice. as above
(3) Rising sea levels across the world have submerged several uninhabited islands, and now the first inhabited islands are going under — the Carteret Islands off the coast of Papua New Guinea are being evacuated as the sea engulfs the land. The entire 1,000-strong population is being moved to another island.
Lie - The Carteret Islands are a typical low lying atoll formation which is sinking, any small increase in sea level is irrelevant. A Mr C Darwin showed us that atolls sink as the underlying volcano erodes away. And I tend to believe him more than I do Mr Monboit. The only Man Made part of this disaster is that the islanders used dynamite to fish, blowing holes in the protective coral
(4) Mountains are defrosting as their permanent ice melts, with the Eiger, in the Alps, crumbling in large rockfalls. As fact one
(5) Everest is gradually losing its height, nearly 0.1m annually, because of warming that is shrinking glaciers.
Huh? Everest the mountain is getting higher by about one inch a year as the plate tectonics that formed it continue. Base Camp has got lower because it is on a shrinking glacier - see above
(6) Nowhere is the shrinking ice more shocking than in the Arctic, which is warming twice as fast as anywhere else on Earth, 3 to 4C in past 50 years, and with unexpected consequences.
Lie - that is not what the actual thermometers show, the uptick only emerges from computer models of what they should show.
(7) Recently, the Inuit in Canada were warned to avoid wasps that had just arrived. The Inuit had never seen wasps before.
Most references to this story seem to return to this writer but the wasp seems to have been an Arctic Yellowjacket, I think you can guess where it is normally found.
(8) Broccoli can now be grown in Greenland.
As it could be in the 1890s
(9) The permanently frozen ground, permafrost, is melting and giving off so much natural gas, methane, that it bursts into flames when ignited with a match. A bit vague of where this is happening or how it has changed but the global Methane emissions aren't spirally out of control, and we don't know what drives them so not evidence for man made warming.
(10) At the other end of the world, the Antarctic Peninsula, the finger of land pointing towards South America, is turning green as ice retreats and grass starts to colonise the bare ground.
The peninsula is anomalous in the Antarctic, on the rest of the continent the ice is growing. The undersea volcanic activity near the peninsula may have a bearing but whatever there is no link proven here to man.
Perhaps the most shocking changes are taken globally over decades.
(11) Twelve of the hottest years worldwide have been in the past fourteen years, in records going back to 1850. Cherrypicking dates - the world has been gently warming for many years, (I personally think that man has contributed a bit to that warming) but it is very hard to spot a change in the trend that can be pinned on man
(12) “There are so many impacts being found across the world it is clear that the Earth’s climate is going through a fundamental change, and so rapidly it cannot be explained by natural causes. This is a man-made phenomenon,” Peter Stott, head of climate monitoring at the Met Office Hadley Centre, said.
That's an opinion, not evidence
(12 )The air we breathe has been growing more humid over the past few decades. Warmer air contains more water vapour, the invisible moisture that gives the feeling of humidity. More worrying, water vapour is also a greenhouse gas, so it traps solar heat in the atmosphere, stoking up the warming effect of man-made climate change. And the rise in humidity is matched by the world getting wetter, on average.
Actual data shows the relative humidity has fallen 21% since 1948 in the upper troposphere where the models predict the greatest feedback.
(13)Precipitation worldwide has increased by 2 per cent since 1900.
Dr Mike Hulme says that There exists no widely accepted reliable instrumental global-mean precipitation record comparable to the surface air temperature record covering the last 100 years. so an accuracy of 2% is not supportable, the best estimates are it is somewhere near stable,
(14)The jet streams in the northern and southern hemispheres have shifted towards the poles by about 70 miles. These rivers of wind at about 9,000m (30,000ft) mark the clash of subtropical and polar air masses and are the key to driving much British weather.
The jet stream has always moved about - no evidence that it has permanently changed.
An hour with a cup of tea, two aspirin and Google and that is that, not one of the facts gets even anywhere near proving man made global warming. Where is the bloody evidence?