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Tomorrow's weather is going to be?


Weather forecast - Telegraph - from Accuweather


BBC Weather | Swindon from The Met Office

I will update with the result this time tomorrow....

THE RESULT - The Met Office were right, it snowed. About three inches on the higher parts. Their detailed timings were a bit off and it was hardly a blizzard but they were near enough.


I'm not far from Swindon too, and being in the farming trade, keep a pretty close watch on the Met Office site. On Monday 4th Jan, right up to midnight, the Met Office were predicting a brief flurry of snow on the Tuesday afternoon, and a bright sunny cold day on Wednesday and Thursday. Metcheck were saying snow starting on Tuesday afternoon, and continuing all night and into Wednesday.

As it turned out Metcheck were pretty much on the money. That was the day the heavy snow started. The MetOffice didn't have any sign of heavy snow on their site until the day it was due to start.

A bit of a volte-face really, from bright and clear to heavy snow in less than 12 hours.

From watching the Met Office 5 day forecast religiously all last summer as I tried to make hay, I can honestly say they hardly got the 5 days ahead right once. Often it changed to the opposite (usually from dry and sunny to heavy rain) from midnight one day to 8am the next. Equally they would often predict rain 3-5 days out, and then as that day approached the predicted rain would get less and less and the day would turn out to dry. Of course by then I'd missed the point at which I should have mown the grass.

I am sorely tempted to pay for Piers Corbyn's weather service next summer - he may not be 100% right, but he gets the bigger picture right more often than the Met Office.

Accuweather forecasts versus the Met Office.

Perhaps Ladbrokes could get involved here.

It is now snowing here in Oxford.

I am sorely tempted to pay for Piers Corbyn's weather service next summer

I once encountered him at a presentation in London. One thing he said was that computers weren't powerful enough to model weather or climate and they had already reached the limits of their processing power, so we'd never be able to do it.

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