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Met Office Knew It Was Going To Be Cold, But Didn't Tell Anyone.

Met Office 'kept winter forecast secret from public' - Telegraph

In October the forecaster privately warned the Government - with whom it has a contract - that Britain was likely to face an extremely cold winter.
It kept the prediction secret, however, after facing severe criticism over the accuracy of its long-term forecasts.
Roger Harrabin, an environment analyst at the BBC, told the Radio Times: “The trouble is that we simply don’t know how much to trust the Met Office. How often does it get the weather right and wrong. And we don’t know how it compares with other, independent forecasters.
The Met Office stopped making its long-term forecasts public in March after a series of major gaffes.
In 2009 a predicted “barbecue summer” became a washout, while a subsequent forecast of a “mild winter” turned out to be one of the coldest in 30 years.
This winter, however, its seasonal forecast proved more accurate. Mr Harrabin said: “Why didn’t the Met Office tell us that Greenland was about to swap weather with Godalming? The truth is it [The Met Office] did suspect we were in for an exceptionally cold early winter, and told the Cabinet Office so in October. But we weren’t let in on the secret.
“The reason? The Met Office no longer publishes its seasonal forecasts because of the ridicule it suffered for predicting a barbecue summer in 2009 – the summer that campers floated around in their tents.”
A spokesman for the Met Office said: “In late October we informed the Cabinet office that there were early indications of a cold start to winter. Following public research we were told that a monthly outlook would be of more use which is why we now have the 6-15 day and 16-30 day forecast on our website.”

The public prediction was for warmer, as Autonomous Mind has pointed out. so what does this back covering story tell us?

Is it a desperate attempt to say we woz right all along, passing the blame for unpreparedness to the Government (who could hardly act without Met Office backing) or did they just say to the Cabinet, it could be hot or it could be cold, we haven't got a clue? Or did the Met Office really believe it might be cold and refused to warn us in case it upset the case in Cancun?

However you spin it the Met Office doesn't come out of it well. I hope there will be an Inquiry.

(The Met Office also sells its long term forecasts to other concerns as well as the Cabinet Office, Mr Tesco et all dropped the Met Office for Metra Long Range Forecasts or other forecasts, but someone must still be using them, and what the forecast they bought said would be revealing.)

Comments

The Met Office is not to be trusted. It is now run by a man with Greenpeace and Fiends of the Earth links and has a vested interest in the discredited EAU Climate Research Unit - and the massive public funding of that "research." If they relied less on their computer and more on observation and real measurement they might be more trustworthy. The truth is though, that almost all their weather monitoring stations are in urban or urbanised areas, most on taxiways at airports and as a result the measurements they get of temperature, humidity and even CO2 are massively slewed.

Of course they couldn't predict UK/Europe getting hit by a freeze - that would have derailed Cancun and the backslapping, emoting masses of Greenpeace et al. Just as an interesting point, I wonder how many people are aware that Greenpeace's backers (And I believe Fiends of the Earth etc., are also part of this scam) are the very people who are pushing windfarms and selling the massively expensive and inefficient turbines to populate them. Not to mention the batteries that cannot be recycled and the lamps that contain poisons banned in fluorescent tubes quite some time ago...

Wouldn't surprise me if they indeed told the government that it would be a cold winter, only to be told to not tell the public as such a prediction wouldn't be in line with government policy re. Global Warming (iow, if you don't tell people it'll be a cold winter, it won't be one).

Remember that last year the Met Office told everyone that the 2009/10 winter had been the warmest on record despite having been the warmest on record, even before the winter was over?
They'll do the same this season, using carefully doctored data to "prove" their point.

Many thanks for the link. The Met Office is the gift that just keeps giving, and I have given this latest story a thorough going over.

http://autonomousmind.wordpress.com/2011/01/04/bbc-spins-that-met-office-got-winter-right-just-kept-it-secret-from-public/

There is a nasty smell about this and FOI requests are already flying in.

The saddest point to be gleaned from this story is not that the Met office, UK government or UEA's science is bunk. The saddest point is that ALL science is bunk and has been for some time.

In the US last year drug recalls were up 900%. Perfectly harmless chemicals with a century of proven industrial safety were banned while ever more children were given mercury laden vaccines, statin drugs, and dangerous antidepressants.

We are now 3 years removed from the opening of the multibillion dollar supercollider at CERN and not a single significant scientific event has come of it. Nothing that was promised was proven or even shown to be realistic possibility. Nobody on this planet has advanced space technology beyond where it was 40 years ago. Nobody can yet explain why comets have tails (which we can see and prove) yet the entire scientific world believes that dark matter (never seen or proven to exist) makes up over 60% of the universe.

Telephones are crappier than they were 30 years ago. Cars have only marginally better fuel economy. The UNITED STATES AND UK NO LONGER HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE A NUCLEAR REACTOR DOMESTICALLY.

ALL OF SCIENCE has been corrupted by statistics, and the self serving and self gratifying diversions of rent seeking academic looters. The human genome was sequenced by two guys who were shunned by academia and were effectively genetic hobbyists. Yet with the entire genome sequenced for them, the entire world of medical science, biology, biotech, genomics and academia have yet to produce a single significant discovery using this wealth of knowledge to provide a single new benefit (besides expensive and dangerous drugs to treat symptoms of toe fungus and limp dick).

If climate science has provided you your first look into the failures of the science establishment, I would suggest you cease looking any further, lest you should desire to discover that human progress has been stopped and traded for lies, shortages, and drugs intended only to keep you enslaved. Your path to self realization has been roadblocked by those who call and aggrandize themselves "scientists". The same people you look to for hope and truth. Ha! SUCKERS!!!

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