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How's That Forecast Working Out For You?

Met Office 3-month Outlook
Period: April – June 2012 Issue date: 23.03.12

SUMMARY - PRECIPITATION:
The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier-than-average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the
driest of the 3 months.
With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period.
The probability that UK precipitation for April-May-June will fall into the driest of our five categories is 20-25% whilst the probability that it will fall into
the wettest of our five categories is 10-15% (the 1971-2000 climatological probability for each of these categories is 20%).

Comments

Despite all the science at their fingertips. Weather forecasters are no more accurate today than they were thirty years ago.
I don't put an ounce (28.34 grams)of faith in any forecast more than 48 hrs ahead.

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