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Stern Hubris

Hubris ( /ˈhjuːbrɪs/), also hybris, from ancient Greek ὕβρις‚, means extreme pride or arrogance. Hubris often indicates a loss of contact with reality and an overestimation of one's own competence or capabilities, especially when the person exhibiting it is in a position of power.
The adjectival form of hubris is "hubristic".

Atë, ancient Greek for "ruin, folly, delusion," is the action performed by the hero or heroine, usually because of his or her hubris, or great pride, that leads to his or her death or downfall.

GOVERNMENT CANNOT RELY ON STERN REVIEW TO JUSTIFY COSTLY CLIMATE CHANGE POLICIES, SAYS NEW REPORT

Press Release

London, 4 September: As the cost of government measures to combat climate change hit households and businesses, a new study published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation casts grave doubts on the validity of the “Stern Review of the Economics of Climate Change” which the government relies on to justify its policies.

The substantial study, by Peter Lilley MP, is the most thorough analysis of the Stern Review so far undertaken. It takes the IPCC’s view of the science of global warming as given, but points out that Stern’s economic conclusions contradict the views of most of the world’s leading environmental economists and even the economic conclusions of the IPCC itself. The study also catalogues a series of errors and distortions in the Stern Review “any one of which would have caused it to fail peer review”.

Because Stern’s conclusions endorsed policies adopted by both government and opposition and its highly tendentious assumptions were not explicit, it was initially accepted without public scrutiny.

The new study shows the Stern Review to depend critically on “selective choice of facts, unusual economic assumptions and a propagandist narrative — which would never have passed peer review”.

Describing it as “policy based evidence”, Peter Lilley argues that the government can no longer rely on it to justify expenditure of many billions of pounds and calls for a return return instead to “evidence-based policies”.

Stern’s central conclusion that “If we don’t act, the overall costs and risks of climate change will be equivalent to losing at least 5% of global GDP each year now and forever” whereas “the costs of action — reducing greenhouse gas emissions to avoid the worst impacts of climate change — can be limited to around 1% of GDP each year” is found to be entirely fallacious.

Lilley’s study demonstrates that the benefits of curbing emissions now and henceforth will not be five times the cost of action, as Stern claims. “It is achieved by verbal virtuosity combined with statistical sophistry. In fact, even on Stern’s figures, the cumulative costs of reducing greenhouse gases will exceed the benefits until beyond 2100″, Lilley points out.

“If we continue to follow Stern’s advice, the principal losers, apart from British taxpayers and businesses, would be developing countries who cannot raise living standards without massively increasing their use of fossil fuels and will therefore be responsible for most of the growth of carbon emissions,” Lilley argues.

Lilley asks: “why should this comparatively poor generation make the sacrifices Stern demands to improve living standards of people in 2200 who, if we take no action to prevent global warming - - even on the worst scenario depicted by Stern – will be 7 times better off than us?

Lilley calls on the government to cease basing its climate change policy on the flawed Stern Review and commission a new independent cost benefit study of alternative strategies.

Comments

Unfortunately, welcome may it be, I fear our political elite and the many others whose wealth and well being depend upon the AGW scam will make sure the man on the Clapham omnibus doesn't get to hear about it.
Or if anyone does start asking questions based upon it they will be shouted down as a loony, if not carted off to the asylum!

Whilst it is welcome, the assumption that global warming is happening is still there and the argument is about scale and timing of measures to deal with "it".

In any event, Stern was just the face on the tin. The Tyndall Centre had major input, as did Edenhofer from Potsdam and others of the same ilk. It was brought out by Blair/Brown to counter the increasing scepticism and to bring politicians on board, especially to try and get the US to ratify Kyoto.

There is some first-rate discussion about Lilley's report on Archbishop Cranmer's blog. Prominent in the discussion is Avi Barzel, one of the main drivers of the report. Read for yourselves:

http://archbishop-cranmer.blogspot.com/2012/09/peter-lilley-wipes-floor-with-warmist.html

There is some first-rate discussion about Lilley's report on Archbishop Cranmer's blog. Prominent in the discussion is Avi Barzel, one of the main drivers of the report. Read for yourselves:

http://archbishop-cranmer.blogspot.com/2012/09/peter-lilley-wipes-floor-with-warmist.html

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